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Author Archives: gymnosperm
CERES and the Greenhouse Effect.
In 2017 we became interested in the CERES data, in particular the measured trend of increasing longwave radiation to space. Nobody seemed to register the significance of this, so in 2018 we downloaded the data and produced this graphic: It … Continue reading
Posted in Climate
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Steve Rayner in Policy Making in a Post-Truth World
The problem is not that charlatans have duped the public with pseudoscience and misinformation but rather that the expert class and the institutions in which they are embedded has failed to attend to the panoply of public values that are … Continue reading
Posted in Climate
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Corona with Lyme
A seasonal second wave of SARS-2 infections has spread around the Northern Hemisphere since the last post. Generally deaths are far fewer, both because many of the most vulnerable have been exposed and because a younger and healthier group is … Continue reading
Posted in SARS 2
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Fuel Moisture and the Dragon’s Breath
Fuel moisture content equilibrates with atmospheric humidity on a scale of hours to weeks depending whether it is dead or alive and how thick it is. There is widespread superstition that drier fuels from climate change can be blamed for … Continue reading
Posted in Climate
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Will a Vaccine Work?
Last year’s seasonal flu vaccine was judged 45% effective. This is typical effectiveness for a seasonal flu vaccine after half a century of practice. Now let’s say 50% of the people will take the vaccine in line with recent studies. … Continue reading
Posted in SARS 2
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Seasonal Darwinism
The time scale of viral evolution is hours. The infectious vectors called virions can each produce thousands of copies of themselves from a single infected cell. Within hours, natural selection will determine which virions will successfully infect another cell/organ/individual; and … Continue reading
Posted in SARS 2
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Fun With Cut and Paste
Perusing the state new case curves on https://rt.live/ some patterns become apparent. Some states with early exposure are on a clear downward trend. Some southern states with later exposure are on an upward trend, California being an exception by early … Continue reading
Posted in SARS 2
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Trouble with Model
We had been trying to do this ourselves but found this fun model: https://gabgoh.github.io/COVID/index.html We can attest that the model parameters agree with our own incomplete efforts. It has lots of fun stuff to play with, and you can … Continue reading
Posted in SARS 2
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